Los Angeles might be on the brink of an avocado shortage, but is it severe enough to warrant a state of emergency? Let’s take a closer look.Recent disruptions in avocado imports from Mexico, due to safety concerns and violence in the Michoacán region, have impacted the supply chain. The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has suspended inspections of avocados and mangoes from this region, which could lead to higher prices and reduced availability
However, the California Avocado Commission (CAC) is optimistic about the 2025 crop year, forecasting a healthy harvest of around 375 million pounds. This would be the largest crop estimate for locally grown avocados since 2020
Current Avocado Situation in California:
– Projected 2025 Harvest: 375 million pounds, according to the CAC
– 2024 Harvest: Nearly 350 million pounds, exceeding initial predictions
– California’s Avocado Industry Value: $1.5 billion
While there’s no official declaration of a state of emergency, the potential shortage has sparked concerns among consumers and businesses. Daniel Sumner, a professor of agricultural economics at UC Davis, notes that if the pause in inspections continues, stores and restaurants may choose to stop purchasing avocados or ration them by price
What’s Next?
The situation is being closely monitored, and officials are working to resolve the issue. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has stated that his government is working with the Americans to resume inspections. Until then, Angelenos might need to get creative with their guacamole recipes or pay a premium for their favorite fruit
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